Center for Studying Health System Change

	Paul B. Ginsburg
	Joy M. Grossman

Print This Page Email This Page

Share:

• twitterExpand
• Facebook
• digg
• Mixx It
• CiteULike
• Connotea
• Google Bookmarks
• Delicious

	Health Spending: January/February 1999 Health Affairs
	Tracking Health Care Costs: November 1999 Issue Brief No. 23
	Health Care Costs: June 1997 Issue Brief No. 10
	Tracking Health Care Costs: January 1997 Issue Brief No. 06
	A Primer on Understanding Health Care Cost Trends: December 1996 Issue Brief No. 05
	Despite Fears, Costs Rise Only Modestly in 1998 Fall 1998 Data Bulletin No. 13
	Tracking Health Care Costs: September/October 1998 Health Affairs
	Tracking Health Care Costs: July/August 1997 Health Affairs
	Tracking Health Care Costs Fall 1996 Health Affairs
	Wall Street Comes to Washington: September 2000 Issue Brief No. 31
	Patients, Profits and Health System Change: May 1997 Issue Brief No. 09
	Wall Street Comes to Washington: December 1998 Issue Brief No. 17
	Wall Street Comes to Washington: September 1999 Issue Brief No. 21

Health System Change:

The View from Wall Street

Winter 1995
Health Affairs, vol.14, no.4 (Winter 1995): 159-163
Paul B. Ginsburg, Joy M. Grossman

group of five health care securities analysts discussed future changes in the industry. Their consensus: First, the pace of change is not likely to change dramatically, especially the shift to managed care. Second, growth in managed care market share will continue at about one to two percentage points per year. Potential growth areas for managed care are the small group market, Medicaid and Medicare. Third, there will be little vertical integration between health plans and providers. These parties will rely on contractual arrangements rather than ownership. Fourth, changes imply substantial capital requirements, which will not be a constraint for sound enterprises. Fifth, to continue cost containment, providers need to develop new approaches to reduce volume and intensity of services.

Free access to this article is available at the Health Affairs Web site.