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  Untitled Document Final Questions and Comments from the Audience              DR. 
  GINSBURG: Do you want to come to the microphone?FLOOR 
  QUESTION: I am writing this up for the Health System Center.
 Helen Darling, you mentioned, 
  and a couple of the panelists this morning mentioned, what a good idea it would 
  be if people could carry over their unused health benefits. In the next breath, 
  you mentioned your concern for families with chronic children. Isnt it the 
  money that went into the system that wasnt tapped for health care needs that 
  really subsidizes now those chronic and serious health needs?
 MS. DARLING: 
  As far as I am concerned, as long as everybody is protected for the higher cost 
  and more extensive, we are really talking about like in the medical savings 
  account model where everybody has a certain amount of money for visiting the 
  doctor and doing things like that, the sort of very low end.
 If, for example, you are a lower 
  user, then, yes, I think letting them carry it over, that is different from 
  letting them have it at all, but if they have it at all, which we have in the 
  current model, then it makes no sense to not let it be carried over.
 He is right. Every year in December, 
  I buy seven new contact lens because I never use up my money. That soret of 
  stuff is silly.
 DR. ATKINS: 
  Can I comment briefly?
 DR. GINSBURG: 
  Sure.
 DR. ATKINS: 
  I think it was one of the groups this morning talked about having the episodic 
  allowance, and in a system in which chronic disease gets taken care of with 
  some kind of a capitated model where it is based on a diagnosed condition and 
  you kick into then that kind of managed care, in that environment, in that context--and 
  then, of course, you have to deal with risk adjustment--the medical savings 
  account makes great sense as a way to handle the front end of the cost up to 
  some dollar level. That is one way of dealing with it.
 The other thing is that I think 
  some people view the medical savings account as more of a lifetime accumulation 
  approach, which is that by retaining it over some period of time, you build 
  up a fair amount that then becomes available to you when you hit a period in 
  your life when you are more likely to have higher medical costs.
 I do not know if we have the 
  capacity in this country to go to a lifetime model or not, but I think that 
  is some of the thinking.
 DR. GINSBURG: 
  Good. We have a few questioners. We will start with Greg.
 MR. SCANDLEN: 
  Greg Scandlen with NCPA.
 I have just a couple of quick 
  points. On the tight labor market issue, you all seem to assume that this will 
  be perceived as a take-away benefits rather than an enhancement. I would suggest 
  for a lot of the community, that is not the case, particularly for mid-sized 
  employers, employees who may be in an HMO they do not like. With the current 
  disgruntlement, widespread disgruntlement with managed care, a lot of people 
  may see this as a huge enhancement of their benefits program, not a take-away.
 The other thing, just generally 
  in the discussion, Helen alluded to this, and I appreciate that, but there is 
  too much talk about employers like this, employers like that, workers can do 
  this, workers cannot do that. That is kind of like Washington government program 
  thinking where whatever you do has to apply to everybody.
 In this case, we are talking 
  about a market. The majority of employers may not like this. Eighty percent 
  of employers may not like this, but that leaves 20 percent, which is a hell 
  of a business for some companies. That is not to be dismissed.
 MS. DARLING: 
  Absolutely.
 DR. GINSBURG: 
  Alan?
 MR. WILDE: 
  Alan Wilde with The Urban Institute.
 I have a question about sort 
  of the value of choice which is a theme here. We just had an issue in health 
  affairs talking about Medicare competitive bidding demonstration falling apart 
  because of the gap between the theoretical value of rules of competition and 
  the practical reality that in markets some people actually lose.
 It seems to me that if we are 
  thinking about defined contribution as more than just outsourcing the administrative 
  tasks of a benefits office, but really moving to a defined contribution, and 
  we know that people are very, very price-sensitive, it seems like a likely outcome 
  here is a large majority of middle-wage workers moving into low-cost plans and 
  entrepreneurs being willing to offer on a defined contribution model some low-cost 
  plans.
 I am trying to imagine the politics 
  of that and why they are any different from what we have just been through. 
  Employers, for price reasons, moved their employees into managed plans and the 
  employees bristled at the restrictions on those plans.
 Now, employees empowered, I 
  suppose, presumably will make identical decisions and feel just as frustrated 
  as they did when it was their employers. It seems to me, there is a lot of power 
  to be harnessed in the market, but I am worried about the political endpoint 
  being the same as the one we just went through. How is it that by calling this 
  choice, we really think that in the end, the employees will be more satisfied?
 DR. ATKINS: 
  For one thing, I am not sure we are ever going to be able to get away from the 
  fact that the employees or the patients are going to become increasingly frustrated 
  with the costs that they are going to have to bear in a much more expensive 
  system.
 I think the idea of choice is 
  the employees or patients, whatever, have to take more responsibility for the 
  consequences of their own actions in wanting health care because I think the 
  employers started out by trying to create a system in which they would have 
  decisions made for them. They would get things that people felt were medically 
  necessary, and they wouldnt get things that people felt werent medically necessary. 
  The difficulty with that is it makes somebody else responsible for the decision.
 So I think people are exploring 
  ways to get employees to be more involved in that decision themselves, and I 
  think the feeling is that if you begin to see what the impact of what choice 
  is on cost, hopefully you become more of a partner than an opponent in terms 
  of managing health care cost, but who knows?
 MR. HERSCHMAN: 
  Can I make one point. I think this is important. We keep hearing cost, cost, 
  cost. It is value. The issue is value.
 Cable TV costs more, but we 
  buy it because it has value, okay? If people want easier cell phones, they will 
  go for 7 cents a minute. They understand it, but it might cost more. I think 
  you have to think of it broader than just cost, and when you get to things at 
  an individual level--I will go to a narrow network insurance product, not one 
  that my employer would ever pick, because that is imposing it on people, but 
  if it meets my criteria and the price is right, I am willing to do that. It 
  is a good value.
 So I think you have got to get 
  out of the cost mantra and think about value, and once you start thinking about 
  value, then you will see that markets work.
 MR. NEWCOMER: 
  Well, I just want to add to that. In our focus groups, we found out that about 
  two-thirds of the people there wanted to spend more to get providers they thought 
  had value, and they couldnt get to them because their health plan wouldnt 
  sign them up. They were more expensive.
 I think the questioners assumption 
  is not necessarily proven in the marketplace.
 DR. GINSBURG: 
  Helen?
 MS. KROL: 
  I would like to address that. We have point-of-service plans, and you have a 
  $200 deductible and 80-percent coverage to go out of network on a plan that 
  only costs $10 a month to participate, and 90 percent of the utilization is 
  in network. I spend all of my time lately dealing with Pennsylvania because 
  hospitals are dropping out of that network. When I tell people for $200, you 
  can go out of network, they say, "You expect me to pay that?" So there is the 
  marketplace and your shelf, you know, the grocery store concept. It is based 
  on the premise that consumers have information, and the information is validated 
  by organization, Food and Drug Administration, Agriculture Department. There 
  is information on that box. So you know what you are buying.
 Unfortunately, in this marketplace, 
  there is no information on cost that is readily available to consumers, and 
  there is even poorer information on quality. People just make decisions based 
  on reputation of the hospital that they want to go without any information on 
  the outcomes of those procedures.
 So I love Regina Hertzlingers 
  book, and we move to a market-driven system, but in 2 years at Lucent, I have 
  not been able to put cost data up. I have not been able to put reasonable quality 
  data up. So, I mean, we would love to be in a market, but a market has to provide 
  those attributes.
 DR. GINSBURG: 
  Larry and then Helen.
 DR. ATKINS: 
  I would just say there is a great danger that in the absence of really good 
  information on providers that does distinguish on the basis of quality and outcomes 
  that the higher price that a provider charges will be seen as a proxy for higher 
  quality. So people will just buy more expensive providers because, gee, they 
  must be better, and I think there is a danger of that if we do not get good 
  information.
 DR. GINSBURG: 
  Helen?
 MS. DARLING: 
  I think there is also always the danger of judging the future on the past, although 
  that is sort of the only thing we have, but most people will put into model 
  types that they do not like and they did not have choice. So a lot of the frustration 
  is that they sort of think that there is "managed care," and that is kind of 
  in their minds that sort of everything that they dont like.
 So what we do not know--well, 
  maybe some of us do know because we have offered multiple options--how different 
  it would be if you had the wide range and you did, indeed, have at least more 
  information than we have got now and you pay a difference.
 My experience is very similar 
  to Pams. I was always astonished at how little money it took for even wildly 
  well-paid people to nitpick about reimbursement, and I never understood why 
  they cared. It was less than you would pay in a taxi to go to National Airport, 
  and these were people with lots of money. So there is something about the mentality 
  or people coming in and saying why dont we pay for something. I say, "We could 
  take your money in a premium. We could pass it through, add 25-percent administrative 
  cost, and send it back to you as 80-percent reimbursement. Would you really 
  rather do that, or why not just pay for it yourself out of your flexible spending 
  account?," and they would have the same look of horror, "You mean to get my 
  mammogram, I might have to pay for it?," even though it is their lives.
 So I think we have to be realistic, 
  and people probably will never be happy with all the solutions. I guess the 
  one point Larry made and others have made, which I think is really important, 
  the worse news is still ahead. The kinds of increases we have had in the last 
  4 years are terrible, basically, especially this last year, depending on whose 
  numbers you look at, 9 to 13 percent in one year alone.
 Everything about what we have 
  got in the system today would suggest that that is going to continue to explode. 
  There is nothing. Nobody is managing care out there anymore. They are not even 
  watching the store anymore. They are certainly not doing case management. We 
  audit these places. So we know that.
 So what we have had for the 
  last couple of years, we will have many times over, and I think if there is 
  a level of unhappiness, we got it in the next 2 years and it is going to be 
  brutal.
 DR. GINSBURG: 
  Thank you.
 That would be a good time to 
  close the meeting, but I would like one last question, though.
 MS. VARNEY: 
  I have been standing here a long time.
 DR. GINSBURG: 
  I know. I want to hear the question.
 MS. VARNEY: 
  I am Stacy Varney, and I am with Choicelinx. My question is with regard to consumers 
  having access to more medical information now than ever before. Do you see any 
  kind of a shift or a trend toward employees wanting more options around alternative 
  care that may not be covered under a traditional health plan, and if so, do 
  your current plans provide for that? Would you have any plans to offer those 
  options in the future?
 DR. GINSBURG: 
  Or, actually, if I could modify, whether defined contribution would make a difference 
  in offering alternative care.
 MS. VARNEY: 
  Exactly.
 MS. KROL: 
  At Lucent, we do offer acupuncture and chiropractors care, and we have looked 
  at alternative medicine networks. We are waiting for them to be more fully developed 
  in terms of credentialing and breadth of providers because, in certain geographic 
  areas, we do not have very good coverage, but with that model, again, having 
  information to be able to discriminate when you are depressed, should I be taking 
  St. Johns Wort and what is the cost of that versus a therapy appointment versus 
  a massage. So, again, we would like to see more alternative medicine treatments 
  available to consumers because they do value it, I believe. They spend a lot 
  of money on it outside of the plan.
 I guess that is why I have been 
  also struggling with a lot of this competition model. I think we have worked 
  a lot on trying to provide integrated models around health and welfare and alternative 
  medicine, the psycho-social support with illness. As we look at some of these 
  models, we are really looking at competition on price with providers and value, 
  and I get a little nervous that we are kind of fragmenting the care, mind-body 
  care concept around some of these talks. I am still struggling with how to package 
  products that would be more comprehensive versus purchasing just a gall bladder 
  operation or cardiac care without purchasing the rehabilitative services and 
  other services involved.
 DR. GINSBURG: 
  Any others? Steve.
 MR. WIGGINS: 
  I just would like to make one comment on alternative medicine and some of the 
  options that will exist. When you actually move to episode-based payment, which 
  we did at Oxford for 30 episodes--we have 80 now in this new program--we got 
  lots of providers moving into it. We had tens of thousands of patients going 
  through them. We had more money for alternative medicine, and people in an episode-based 
  allowance system can make that tradeoff. They can say, "I would rather spend 
  maybe one day less in the hospital out of a 7-day stay. I would rather use those 
  incremental resources for acupuncture." It might be something as esoteric as 
  chi gung or some other type of alternative therapy that could be used when you 
  have control of the resources.
 It is too bad that we really 
  didnt get a chance to go into this model deeper because so many of these issues 
  are so easily addressed with more explanation.
 DR. GINSBURG: 
  Thank you.
 I appreciate your staying longer. 
  I think we had some great discussion. I want to thank all of the panelists, 
  Sally Trude, Jon Christianson for his moderating. Please fill out the evaluations 
  before we go. We need them.
 I want to thank you, the audience, for providing such provocative 
  questions, and The Robert Wood Johnson Foundation for its support of this meeting.
 Thank you.
 
               [Whereupon, at 12:10 p.m., the conference concluded.] 
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